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Finance & Market

Monetary Policy: likely impact on inflation and interest rate

  In the last Monetary Policy decision, discount rate has been maintained at 10 percent against expectations that interest rate will reduce at the back of reduction in CPI, average CPI recorded at 8.6 percent in FY14. With declining trend of inflation and projections of SBP for single digit inflation, discount rate is expected to reduce further. For FY15, CPI is expected to remain between 7.5 percent and 8.5 percent. …

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Is Pakistan losing Afghan market?

  Cement export to Afghanistan declined by 58 percent Despite earnest support to Afghan economy besides offering tariff free transit trade, the export of different commodities required for infrastructure development are on the decline to such an extent that the export of cement, the basic need for development, has declined by 58 percent to Afghanistan. Although the reasons for declining exports are being attributed to the withdrawal of NATO forces …

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Is there any logic behind keeping interest rate high?

  It is often said that the fiscal and monetary policies of the country have been dictated by the multilateral lenders i.e. International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. This statement is partly correct and partly wrong. Since the lenders give money they also want to ensure its return as per agreed schedule. Therefore, they have a major say in the formation of these two critically important policies. However, …

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Ample prospect for investment in banking sector

  80 percent population in Pakistan is unbanked, says Nadeem Husain, CEO of Tameer Microfinance Bank Although the banking sector in Pakistan has grown on appreciably sound footings on the back of the best regulatory guidelines by the State Bank of Pakistan, however, there still are tremendous opportunities for growth especially in rustic life of the country. It is said that 80 percent population is still un-banked in Pakistan which …

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Pakistan can fetch substantial forex through export of services

  Boundaries between services and industry are changing fast, and about half of all services in modern industrialized economies are sold and bought while embedded in the form of goods. While the content and function of goods remain important, the designing, marketing, consultancy and advertising services claim a share of the value added to goods. Manufacturing, too, has important contribution from services, such as resource planning, warehousing, value chain analysis, …

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Financial inclusion program and farmers

  Agriculture contributes nearly one-fourth to Pakistan’s GDP, two of its large-scale industries (textile and sugar) are agro based and nearly 60 percent of total exports comprise of textiles and clothing. This is despite the fact that production and productivity of the sector is very low as compared to the international standards. If right impetus are provided production of major crops can be doubled, which can boost GDP size, create …

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The outlook of Islamic finance market

  Islamic finance during the past many decades has begun to progress in a great deal on the global front. Besides having the traditional Islamic finance markets in the Middle East, Western countries have also begun to see financial centers opening up. There is now more acceptance and recognition of this alternate financial system. The range and the scope of Islamic finance products over the years have also widened which …

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Sukuk offers enormous potential

  In countries like Pakistan, the governments facing shortage of revenue, indulge in borrowing to meet their developmental expenditures. While the conventional banks have been the key beneficiaries of such borrowing, Islamic financial institutions (IFIs) face serious liquidity management problems as these can’t invest in Riba-based instruments like Treasury Bills and Pakistan Investment Bonds. Issue of Sovereign Ijara Sukuk and corporate Sukuk on one hand offers an opportunity to invest …

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Growing Islamic finance industry

  Pakistan is a country where population is predominantly Muslim and the share if Islamic finance should have increased enormously by this time. The decision of State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to let the two systems in parallel was good but the overall response of all the stakeholders, particularly the government has been lackluster. Bulk of the government borrowing from the local market has remained Riba-based, mainly through Treasury Bills …

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Growth in Islamic Finance surpasses conventional banking

  Islamic finance based on principals of Shariah provides an alternate to conventional banking. Islamic banking industry size is estimated to be $400 billion with potential to grow at minimum 15 percent to 20 percent globally per year, much faster than conventional financial institutions. This has been the same trend over the last 5 years since 2008. Islamic Banking assets globally are estimated to be $270 billion. The sukuk market …

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