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Trade & Economy

Monetary policy and interest rates: what does the trend show?

  There seems to be positive sentiment in the economy with the new government taking charge in May 2013. There are high hopes that the economy will flourish, law and order situation will improve, inflation will subside and development projects will create more jobs. The sentiment is reflected in business growth and the KSE-100 index trading at record high of 22,700 points and going strong. Despite the government approaching the …

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Economic growth: perception may be different from reality

  With announcement of the budget, it has been widely documented that inflation will be on a rise. We have already witnessed devaluation with the government resorting to the new IMF program. Dollar has crossed Rupees 100 per USD and is expected to further slide reaching Rupees 110 per USD by the close of this year, hence expected to reflect in higher prices across the board. No relief has been …

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Menace of poverty

  It would not be wrong to say that poverty in our country is the result of low economic growth, relocation of industry, high food inflation, rising joblessness, warlike conditions, stagnant industry, slowing services sector, energy shortfall, poor governance, gender discriminatory practices and non-availability of credit to the micro and small-scale industry. Poverty is not the issue only in Pakistan however, it is essential to address this issue at the …

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Economy of Pakistan since 1947

  Pakistan’s achievements in income, consumption, agriculture and industrial production are extremely impressive and have lifted millions of people out of poverty levels. However, the achievements do pale when looked against the missed opportunities. Pakistan faced numerous economic issues in 1947 because India refused to give Pakistan its share of sterling reserves. The situation was so bad that Pakistani government couldn’t pay salaries to its employees. Pakistan was way behind …

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The export potential of Pakistan

  Achieving its annual exports target had been a struggle for the government due to the diverse problems the country is currently facing. The target of $27 billion for the financial year 2012-2013 was a difficult target for the government to meet, and is made worse due to the power shortages in the country and the present global economic situation. It was estimated that Pakistan would be likely to miss …

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Pakistan ignoring driving engine of economy

  Economic analysts are clearly divided into two distinct groups, one that believes small and medium enterprises (SMEs) are the real driver of economy and another that believes that conglomerates are the real creators of value. Some management gurus believe it is only the perception but both are so minutely intermingled that one just can’t survive without other. They also believe that better these enterprises understand needs of each other …

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Difficult act of balancing

  The current financial year (2012-13) is likely to close on a pessimistic note with: 1) looming balance of payments crisis, high budget deficit, exports proving dismal for financing imports but above all country continue to suffer from ‘trust deficit’. The conditions are marred by general elections for the time being because the caretaker government has no mandate to take some crucial decisions, including finalizing terms and conditions for the …

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Five factors to mar gdp growth

  Pakistan is not likely to achieve more than 3 percent GDP growth during the current financial year. Economic growth of next financial year is also be marred because of formation of the new elected government and coming up with appropriate policies to turn around the economy. The issue of potential default has been overcome with the commitment of the IMF to provide US$5 billion under Extended Financial facility (EFF). …

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Large scale import of tea causing drain on foreign exchange

  Tea was discovered around 5,000 years back and is considered to be the oldest prepared beverage. The tea plant originated from South East China and slowly spread to Indo-Pak subcontinent, Sri Lanka and further into tropical and sub tropical countries. Tea is available in black, green, yellow and in white colors. The tea tree, under raw conditions, can reach up to 10 to 15 meters. Tea trees are grown …

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Enhancing GDP size

  Two of the common complaints are: 1) Pakistan’s GDP size is too small and 2) GDP growth also does not compare well keeping in view population growth rate. Over the years experts have been working on different options but little has been done to document the economy. According to some experts the size of documented economy is just one-fourth of the actual. On one hand this does not allow …

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